Israel

August 19, 2008

Challenges that Face the United States!

I regret that the Victory Sign campaign and my very sick Labrador Retriever "Bear" has kept me to busy to write on world events. America was told after the fall of the Soviet Union that we no longer faced nuclear or military danger. The "Peace Dividend" resulted in more government spending on social programs to enslave voters to government handouts while cutting our military forces by nearly two thirds to pay for those programs.

Along comes 9-11 and our world changed because of global and state sponsored terrorism. Although we still have a 2 million man military (Active, Guard & Reserve) we find we only have 10 Active Army divisions. Fighting a two front war in Iraq and Afghanistan has left us with virtually the same combat troops revolving into and out of these theaters with only a year back home before redeploying somewhere.

To prove what a turbulent and violent world we still live in we have seen a political leader assassinated in Pakistan and its President resignation, Iran attempting to develop nuclear weapons while unleashing surrogate armies like Hezbolla against free nations, and Russia attacking its neighbor Georgia while bulling Eastern Europe and the Ukraine over oil and natural gas. 

Now America is deciding on who will be our next President and leader of the "Free World." This is not the time to choose a naive and untested politician who speaks in sound bites that have no substance or true understanding of the evil that confronts this world. For the sake of our national security we better go with an experience candidate, John McCain!

August 04, 2008

Is Time Running Out for Iran?

Is time running out to peaceably deal with Iran on their nuclear program? I've written before that many in the intelligence business openly feel that Israel is preparing to strike Iran's nuclear and long range missile sites. That possibility was confirmed by Barack Obama after his meeting in Israel two weeks ago when he reported back to Democrats in the Senate that Israel will strike Iran if sanctions don't work.

The New York Times reports the latest chest thumping by Iran (here), where they continue to threaten to close the Strait of Hormuz and attack shipping in the Persian Gulf. Time does appear to be running out since Iran last Saturday rejected the latest offer of incentives to end their nuclear enrichment program by the United States, China, Russia, France, Germany and Great Britain.

When dealing with religious and political fanatics, sanctions don't always work. They didn't work with Iraq or with North Korea. Unlike the situation leading to North Korea developing a nuclear bomb, there is another suspected nuclear armed country (Israel) who will take action on their own if the civilized world doesn't have the backbone to do it. As I have stated before, the Jewish nation will not risk the near annihilation it experienced in the 1930's & 40's at the hand of Hitler's Germany. They will strike first to eliminate this threat liked they did against Iraq's nuclear plant in the 1980's.

Again, this puts the US is in a no win situation. We will get blamed and our interests will be attack regardless of our involvement once the attack takes place. Iran will unleash Hezbollah and Shia extremists throughout the Middle East and the world. Many Persian Gulf nations will denounce Israel publicly, but applaud their actions privately because they also fear a nuclear armed Iran. Once again, I predict that Israel will take action shortly after their September elections and before the US elections in November. Unfortunately, I don't see this being resolved diplomatically.

If this isn't reason to hold on to our petroleum reserves and not to release part of it as Barack Obama has asked for, I don't know what is!

August 01, 2008

Israel Will Not Go Quietly This Time!

Israel is convinced that Iran is on the verge of a "major breakthrough" (here) on it's quest to develop a nuclear weapon. With the decision of the Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to not run in the Israeli elections in September, the situation appears to be at a point of action for the Israel government. There is a good chance that the new Israeli Prime Minister will be less likely to continue the hide and seek game of diplomacy that Iraq has been playing with the United Nations and European leaders.

Israel has openly tested their military's ability to make long tactical strikes. Israel also has every reason to be skeptical of a change of government in the United States in November. Many in the intelligence business are becoming more convinced that Israel will strike militarily at Iran's nuclear and long range missile facilities before the US elections on November 4, 2008. This would force both Barack Obama and John McCain to side with Israel or risk losing the US Jewish vote.

The Jewish people will not go quietly into the night as they did in the 1930's and 1940's.

July 22, 2008

Is Barack Obama This Centuries Neville Chamberlain?

After listening to Barack Obama's news conference from Jordan today I must ask the question: Is Barack Obama this Centuries Neville Chamberlain? Complete with two hundred adoring journalists in tow, he has demonstrated his complete lack of national security and military tactical judgment about the "surge," about our troops and our enemies in the region much like Chamberlain in 1940.

What an insult to the brave men and women, their families and our country to state that the "surge" has worked but he would still oppose it today. The sacrifices made by these soldiers and their families demand an immediate apology. With his statement, how can any general in the field feel comfortable about this mans ability to process real world problems?

In my opinion, Obama does not want victory in Iraq or the War on Terror. He has opposed the war simply for the purpose of using it as a campaign issue against George Bush and now John McCain. Unlike John McCain, who has stated many times he would rather lose the election then lose the war, Obama simply wants to win the election.

The flawed judgment of Obama, his arrogance and his radical left wing voting record should warn every American as to the real person behind the mask that is Barack Obama. Peel back the mask and you have an individual who is incapable of free thinking or communicating without a teleprompter. What is at stake for the world and the USA is far too important then what this snake oil salesman is peddling with the help of the main stream media!

July 18, 2008

Barack Obama's Magical Mystery Tour Begins!

Barack Obama's "Magical Mystery Tour" began today with the help and support of the main stream media (msm). With msm news anchors Katie Couric (CBS), Charlie Gibson (ABC), and Brian Williams (NBC) in tow, Obama is off on campaign stops in Europe, Israel, Iraq & Afghanistan on the agenda.

Once described as a fact finding tour so that Barack Obama could form his "national security plan," has now turned into a world wide rock concert event. It's really hard to formulate a national security plan when you have already stated what you plan to do without giving your generals in the field any opportunity to discuss options and strategy before hand. I guess when you are soooooooo smart, you don't need advise or consult from military experts!

I don't begrudge the msm an opportunity for tagging along. After all, it is news and anyway most of America understands the msm is solidly behind Barack Obama. They did orchestrate his win over Hillary Clinton in the primaries. So why would they even try to give the appearance of fairness and balance by their anchors traveling with John McCain. Their action has a double edged sword risk attached to it. Since Obama is a naive rank amateur on national security and military issues, if he screws up, someone is bound to have video footage. You won't see it on the evening msm news, but it will show up on U-Tube.

Our military leaders will be very respectful and give great updates on the war on terror at all stops. However, you can imagine that a few military eyes will roll when no one is looking. It make one wonder why stop and visit the military at all if you have already decided on "defeat and retreat."

Two other interesting notes: First Barack's wife stayed at home and did not accompany him and the 200+ media people. Second, the itinerary does not include a stop to visit Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Perhaps Michelle Obama is getting more training on how to speak in public without hurting her husband's already fragile campaign? Maybe, Mahmoud and Barack have scheduled a coffee break at "Starbucks" in New York City when Ahmadinejad next visits the United Nations?

I can't wait to see the press in their "I Survived Barack Obama's Magical Mystery Tour" t-shirts. A real collectors item I'm sure!

July 02, 2008

The Upcoming War with Iran

Sadly, there is no way to avoid a war with Iran. Every diplomatic effort has failed to stop Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons. However, the United States will not be the aggressor in this war. Here is how I see it unfolding.

Iran's leadership has stated that as a national policy they want to destroy Israel. Much like the 1930's the free world has dismissed those comments as only saber rattling. Unfortunately they said the same thing about Hitler and it cost 60 million lives in World War II, including 6 million Jews. This time one nation is taken the rhetoric of Iran seriously, Israel.

I believe as many do that Israel will launch a preemptive strike at Iran, possible before our November elections to attempt to destroy as much of Iran's nuclear facilities, long range missile capability, and lone oil refinery. Iran will claim that Israel acted with the help of the USA. Iran will counter with missile strikes against Israel targeting populated areas and Israel's nuclear power station. Some of these missiles may have chemical warheads. Iran will also unleash their surrogate army's of Hezbollah and Hamas to attack the Israel borders with short range missiles and armed fighters. More then likely these organizations will also begin targeting US interests, escalating the conflict. Iran will also have their surrogate Shiite Madi Army in Iraq launch attacks against the US military forces there.

Iran will, as they have threatened, attempt to block the Strait of Hormuz, between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. Nearly one half of all the worlds oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz. This action will likely be seen as an act of war since the Strait of Hormuz is considered international waters.

As you can see, America will be forced to defend our interests one way or another. Israel will not be able to fly 100 aircraft the 900 miles necessary to attack Iran without over flying Iraq with US knowledge and approval. Could Israel be successful in destroying Iran's nuclear program? No, but they could set Iran's nuclear program back another five or ten years with the hope that the Iranian people overthrow their oppressive leaders. Frankly, I don't see the Iranian people capable of overthrowing their government since all the guns are in the hands of the Iranian military who answers to the religious leadership.

Why attack before the US elections? That would force Obama and McCain both to side with Israel for the sake of the US Jewish vote. Why not a joint US and Israel attack on Iran? The US Congress would never accept it, nor would they keep an attack secret. That would require the Bush Administration to launch the attack without the approval of Congress. I don't believe George Bush would be willing to do that.

So there it is. We get sucked in no matter what we do. Oh, if you think gas prices are high now, if you think the economy is in dire straits, just wait. Sometimes there are no easy answers to complex problems. Welcome between a rock and a hard space!

May 21, 2008

It's Just A Tiny Country............

It's just a tiny country.......... No threat to a super power!

It's just a tiny country.......... It's people are strange and different!

It's just a tiny country.......... We misunderstand their religion!

It's just a tiny country.......... It's little leader doesn't mean what he says!

It's just a tiny country.......... They really don't want to kill the Jews!

It's just a tiny country.......... They'll listen to reason if we just talk with them!

It's just a tiny country.......... Let them build their weapons and military!

It's just a tiny country.......... Their 70 million people don't threaten us!

It's just a tiny country.......... There is no proof that they will attack us!

It's just a tiny country.......... We are too busy in other areas to care!

It's just a tiny country.......... They want peace, just like us!

It's just a tiny country! Yes, you are right Mr. Obama, it is just a tiny country after all. But I wasn't writing about Iran, I was referencing 1939 Germany. People said all those things about Hitler back then. By not stopping him in 1939, he unleashed World War II on the world. Yes, a tiny 70 million population country, the size of Ohio, the population of Iran, started a bloody war that took the lives of over 60 million before it was over.

There are many occasions where history has repeated itself. We are quickly moving in that direction once again. Great nations and great leaders understand that appeasement will not work with those who's hate and lust for power exceeds the realm of reason.

Iran's quest for nuclear weapons, long range missiles and thirst for regional domination sends a clear signal to who ever wins the Presidency this year. Iran is a problem that grows each day and like a festering boil it will swell until it is lanced. Yes, it's just a tiny country indeed!